Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.201691 0.229576 0.259501 0.293955 0.332478 0.374171 0.422661
2025-11-23 0.162076 0.198834 0.240929 0.292524 0.353871 0.424285 0.511020
2025-11-30 0.138329 0.180932 0.232483 0.299074 0.382389 0.482723 0.612193
2025-12-07 0.117770 0.163194 0.220939 0.299077 0.401296 0.529631 0.701979
2025-12-14 0.101839 0.148733 0.211067 0.299001 0.418681 0.574543 0.791278
2025-12-21 0.089353 0.136971 0.202908 0.299509 0.435755 0.619091 0.882030
2025-12-28 0.080473 0.128962 0.198658 0.304323 0.458205 0.671405 0.985666
2026-01-04 0.073826 0.123281 0.196853 0.311947 0.484511 0.729979 1.100815
2026-01-11 0.066879 0.116221 0.192096 0.314408 0.502939 0.777883 1.202965
2026-01-18 0.061746 0.111373 0.190076 0.320513 0.526750 0.834438 1.320259
2026-01-25 0.057740 0.107870 0.189705 0.328891 0.554215 0.897522 1.450164
2026-02-01 0.052371 0.101410 0.183852 0.327788 0.566395 0.937657 1.546919
2026-02-08 0.047421 0.095281 0.178210 0.326914 0.579432 0.980768 1.652263
2026-02-15 0.042924 0.089453 0.172504 0.325368 0.591097 1.022193 1.757065
2026-02-22 0.040250 0.086728 0.171961 0.332593 0.617774 1.089024 1.905844
2026-03-01 0.036832 0.082151 0.167606 0.332603 0.631900 1.135803 2.024064
2026-03-08 0.033768 0.077911 0.163444 0.332524 0.645666 1.182448 2.144086
2026-03-15 0.031098 0.074161 0.159833 0.333085 0.660430 1.231308 2.269933
2026-03-22 0.029214 0.071856 0.158805 0.338384 0.684003 1.296376 2.426361
2026-03-29 0.027810 0.070433 0.159384 0.346772 0.713694 1.373476 2.607037
2026-04-05 0.025960 0.067786 0.157206 0.349479 0.732717 1.432357 2.758145
2026-04-12 0.024631 0.066185 0.157051 0.356195 0.759722 1.506789 2.940096
2026-04-19 0.023610 0.065196 0.158098 0.365407 0.792043 1.592333 3.145651